Power of 3 (AMD): Why $SPY Moves in Three Phases Every Day
For years, $SPY kept doing the same thing to me.
It would sit quiet all morning. Then it would spike one direction, take out the stops, and I'd chase it. Then it would reverse and run the other way all day. The real move. The one I missed.
The market isn't random. It runs a script with three acts: Accumulation, Manipulation, Distribution. AMD. Once I saw it, I couldn't unsee it.
Here's how I read all three.
Phase 1: Accumulation, the quiet part
Every day starts with quiet.
Accumulation is the phase where smart money builds positions without moving price. On $SPY, this is usually the overnight and early premarket range. Price goes sideways in a tight band. Volume is thin. Nothing looks tradeable.
That's the point. Big players can't slam a full position in at once without moving price against themselves, so they absorb orders slowly while the range sits still.
How I read it:
- Mark the overnight high and low. They become my lines in the sand for the whole day.
- Tight range, big move coming. The tighter the morning range, the more violent the expansion later.
- Don't trade inside it. There's no edge in the middle of the range. I'm a tourist until the market shows its hand.
Accumulation is the market holding its cards. Retail gets bored and forces trades in the middle. I sit on my hands.
Phase 2: Manipulation, the sweep
This is the phase that takes everyone's money.
Manipulation is the fake move. Price breaks out of the accumulation range, breakout traders jump in, and stop losses outside the range get triggered. Retail piles in, convinced the day is decided.
Then the market reverses.
The breakout was a trap. It swept the resting stops, and those trapped positions become the fuel for the real move when their stops get run later.
If you trade my PSS Model, this should sound familiar: the Manipulation leg IS the Liquidity Sweep. When I see it print, I don't see danger. I see the setup forming.
How I read it:
- A break of the overnight range that doesn't hold is manipulation, not a breakout. Chasing it is the single most expensive habit in day trading.
- The sweep traps both sides. Sometimes it fakes both directions. Either way, trapped traders become fuel.
- Wait for the snapback. I don't trade the spike. The rejection back into the range is my first signal the real move is loading.
This is where most traders lose their day. They trade the manipulation like it's the distribution, buy the fake breakout, and spend the session chasing. The phase is named for what it does to you. Respect it.
Want to watch me read these phases live? I call every phase out loud in the free Bulls Corner Discord every morning. Get in free here, just drop your email and you're inside.
Phase 3: Distribution, the real move
After the manipulation traps everyone, the real move begins.
Distribution is where smart money unloads the positions it built in accumulation, riding the trapped fuel from manipulation. Price moves with conviction, pulls back shallow, and keeps going.
The key insight: distribution only has fuel because manipulation happened first. No trap, no fuel, no trend. That's why the biggest trend days usually start with a fakeout the other way first.
How I trade it:
- Trade with it, never against it. Once distribution confirms, I only take entries with the real move. Countertrend scalps are donations.
- Buy the pullbacks, not the breakouts. I wait for price to retrace into my liquidity zones, then I join. Chasing the first leg usually means buying the top of a pullback.
- Let it run. The hardest skill in distribution is doing nothing. I set my target at the next pool of liquidity and let the market work.
Distribution is payday.
Where my 10 AM reversal rule lives
Here's where my reversal rule slots in.
My reversal rule says: when a 30-minute candle closes hard off its open, and the 10:00 AM ET candle opens, I trade the sweep in the opposite direction toward the 4H high or low.
That's the Power of 3 with a timestamp on it. The morning spike is manipulation: it sweeps the early stops, traps the breakout traders, and by 10 AM the fuel is loaded. The reversal rule trades the distribution leg that follows.
The framework and the rule are the same thing. The Power of 3 is the why. The reversal rule is the how.
When AMD clicks, my whole model clicks. The Liquidity Sweep is manipulation. The Directional Shift is the market choosing distribution. The Structure Break confirms it. The High-Value Zone entry is me joining distribution at a discount.
One framework. Every trade. That's the whole game.
Three phases. One script. Once you see it, you stop trading the noise and start trading the plan.
If you want to watch me walk through this on live charts every morning, that's what the free Discord is for. Join free here.
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See you at the next sweep.
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FAQ
What is the ICT Power of 3?
The ICT Power of 3 (AMD) describes how price moves in three daily phases: Accumulation (smart money builds quietly), Manipulation (the fake breakout that sweeps stops), and Distribution (the real move on the trapped fuel). I use it to read $SPY and $QQQ every morning.
What is the Manipulation leg in the Power of 3?
The Manipulation leg is the fake breakout that sweeps stops outside the accumulation range, trapping breakout traders. In my PSS Model, this leg is the Liquidity Sweep, and it creates the fuel for the Distribution move.
When does each phase happen during the trading day?
Accumulation is typically the overnight range. Manipulation often plays out in the first hour of the session. Distribution is the trending leg that follows. I trade the structure, not the clock.
How does the Power of 3 relate to the PSS Model?
Same mechanics, two descriptions. Manipulation is my Liquidity Sweep. The start of Distribution is my Directional Shift. The confirmed trend is my Structure Break. My High-Value Zone entry joins the Distribution move at a discount.
Can the Power of 3 apply to $QQQ too?
Yes. I trade $QQQ with the exact same read. The three phases play out on every liquid instrument.
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Keep reading
The Upside PSS Model: How I Buy the Bottom on $SPY Without Guessing The Downside PSS Model: How I Short $SPY Tops Without Guessing Liquidity Sweeps: Why Smart Money Hunts Your Stop Loss Before the Real MoveRisk note: everything on this blog is educational content from my own trading experience, not financial advice. Trading options involves substantial risk of loss.